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That people remember us in this era of s of bands. To be playing music with friends that inspire me and to perhaps inspire others with our record. All these things fill me with such a profound sense of gratitude. The gratitude comes from being listened to. From completing a communication. What is the meaning behind it? It goes both ways in that there were plenty of times where I had to remind myself that even though it was taking forever with lots of space in between studio sessions that we were going to complete this thing and we were going to get it out into the world.
I would manipulate my perspective into a healthier space and look at the bigger picture and what all we had accomplished instead of what was still left undone. We are a really close bunch of old friends who have known each other for a long, long time, and we all are most interested in the more mystical aspects of music and our lives. A spiritual thing really. I am and have always been drawn to guitar, bass, drums throw-down rock.
Rhythm, riffs, swagger, groove, pocket. The Forest is the Many, and the Tree is the individual. One of the most important things we can do while here on planet Earth is to see Others as our Self, and to see our Self as Others.
What led the band to finally get back together and create new music? Is it something that had been in the works for a long time, and what was it like putting together these new songs? Being a family man, obviously that is my number one responsibility and motivation.
Things will just pop in my head and show up all of a sudden. So, in my mind, we never quit, but in reality, there were two or three years there where we were just an idea and other aspects of life demanded our attention. It was healthy though! We needed to step away to really see how much this thing means to us and is a part of us. To really appreciate and respect the entity. Joe Rowland from Pallbearer actually got us back together! But it really got us fired up and instilled a work ethic in us that we were really needing.
It got us back to getting together as frequently as possible and got the creative energy going. It makes things not so immediately satisfying, but it has ensured the long-term survival of the band. I just had to be patient for its time to be ripe. Deadbird was a part of Migration Fest this past summer in Pittsburgh. What was it like being a part of that festival, and what do you remember about your set and the event?
It was really, really cool to finally get to meet Dave Adelson whom I had been communicating with regularly for many months before the fest. He is truly the real deal and just an incredibly awesome person. It was also really cool to meet Adam from Gilead as well! Those guys have truly built something unique and monumental, and the fact that such an incredible lineup is curated almost exclusively from their two labels is a testament to what those guys do every day and truly excel at.
We drove all the way there on Friday. Got up Saturday and got to the fest. Watched the rest of the bands and got up the next morning and booked it back! I really wanted to see the whole thing, but being a year-old father of two did not allow me that luxury. The caliber of bands we played with was absolutely stellar, and it was a daunting task indeed to get up there and bring it as hard as we could with schedule-conflicted minimal rehearsal and being unable to tour into the fest.
I, for one, was nervous as hell! You can hear that in the first song we played, but we settled in and found that space, and I truly felt that by the end of our set, we had won at least most of the crowd over. When we finally went silent at the end of our set, there was a pause of silence and then the place really responded to our set in a way that I was not expecting!
It was a beautiful moment, and we were grateful to be there! For example, in that series of studies, prepared, during the yearsunder the direction of later Carter Secretary of State Cyrus Vance, and later National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski, et al. The policy not only did cause a directed disintegration of the U. I speak here today: The method of that usual gang of Wall Street bankers and law-firms was wrong, even evil, but these fellows had, at least, a vision of a succession of culturally motivated changes in the nature of U.
The reason those fellows so often win the big game in current history, is not only that they have power, but that they are thinking ahead, while most ordinary citizens are thinking foolishly, thinking only of their begging for better personal opportunities, and for odd bits of local community and personal family interests, that for little beyond the next year to two immediately ahead.
So, most of the people, in most so-called democratic nations, fool themselves, most of the time. If we study the behavior of powerful centers of power and policy-making, and take into account their various failures and successes in shaping current history, it should become clear to us, that in all attempts at long-range forecasting, over spans ranging, usually, from decades to generations ahead, there are certain knowable factors governing relative, if not exact timing, as in forecasting the future of any physical process for which we do not yet know all of the determining factors.
I neither predicted, nor even thought of predicting the exact timing of the November and March monetary crises, nor the mid date for breakdown of the system, but my broad approximations as to timing, which I had outlined more than a decade prior to the August crisis, were correct, and as precise as to timing as such matters might usually be forecast.
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Thus, the function of economic forecasting is not a formal-mathematical, ivory-tower sort of predicting of the exact dates of specific future events. The competent forecaster refuses to answer the question: Long-term forecasting shows us what policies we should support, and which we should abhor, if only out of simple prudence.
The goal of forecasting, is not how to calculate the way in which to squeeze the last ounce of speculative gains, up to the instant before a financial market collapses. Near the End of This System Presently, we have come to the point, that the near-term future of the present world economy, can be successfully forecast within the terms of the conditions I have just summarized.
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Exactly when the point of disintegration of the system will occur, can not yet be predicted, because the policy-choices which will determine which of three available choices is made, have not yet been decided with finality; nonetheless, as much as we can and should know about factors of timing, is readily available to those among us who have done our work. The time is now becoming very short. Broadly, there are only three alternative ways in which the present I.
Until the Washington conference of Octoberthe more likely scenario for then-existing policies, was a deflationary collapse, a collapse of a form like that of the interval, or the U. At the present time, when the policy-shapers have succeeded, temporarily, in resorting to hyperinflationary financial-pumping measures, aimed to postpone an otherwise inevitable deflationary collapse in the world financial system, those policy-makers also set into motion a new threat, one even more deadly than a deflationary collapse: In the latter, presently threatened, global alternative to deflationary collapse, one does not merely suffer deflationary losses; entire currencies evaporate.
Now, the world financial and monetary systems, taken as a whole, are gripped internally by these two presently interdependent, but also opposing alternatives, each alternative becoming worse weekly: Those rates of financial inflation, are now skyrocketting, not toward Heaven, but, rather, toward the Hell which erupts as soon as the accumulated financial inflation explodes as commodity-price inflation.
Under a continuation of present Anglo-American policies, the postponed expression of that underlying rate of hyperinflation, will erupt in a pattern similar to the case for March-October Germany ofbut this time on a global scale.
Thus, under such present conditions, increasingly precise forecasting, if not yet prediction, becomes, unfortunately, more and more feasible with each passing week. A critical set of values is being ever more closely approached. Recent months trend toward increasingly wild hyper-instability of fluctuations in financial markets, reflects the convergence upon that boundary condition, creating a spectacle akin to the efforts of desperate firefighters, creating an inflationary fire-storm, by attempting to quell a conflagration, by flooding the fire-scene with increasing volumes of deflationary, ice-cold gasoline.
Thus, there are two choices of ways in which the present system will soon destroy itself, if a third option does not intervene.Meet the Spartans hot video comedy
The only workable third option, is the rational one: The revolutionary quality of the action, is to be confined to the action itself, without incurring the additional burden of measures which lack such a clearly visible precedent.
After we have established the new system, premised chiefly on the best features of the protectionist model from the interval, we can add further innovations, as necessary, but at speeds which due deliberation, under relatively less sudden conditions, permits. Admittedly, among the leading nations of the world, the current policy-shaping trends within the U.
On this point, there is an important lesson to be learned from the exceptional success of my long-range forecasting practice over the recent forty years. If one examines the forecasts which I included within my lectures on various campuses, and elsewhere, during the interval, the crucial developments which have actually occurred, sincefollow with relatively great precision the forecasts I made during that interval.
Over the course of the recent four decades, in many cases, I have watched, sadly, as foolish firms and national economies ruined themselves, quite predictably, and repeatedly.
In the relatively simplest cases, the ruin was the result of relying on short-term considerations, when medium-term effects of those policies would be disastrous.
In other, more important cases, such as those of governments and major private enterprises, attention to medium-term effects, blinded policy-shapers to the disastrous, long-term effects of their decisions, that is to say, over the span of approximately a generation.
Most of the calamities which have struck national economies during the course of those decades, have been ruinous conditions of the type against which my long-range forecasting had forewarned ever wider audiences in the relevant professions and governments.
That example, the results of my method in forecasting, supplies an appropriate study of the characteristics of successful approaches to long-range economic forecasting, as I have just addressed the matter of the possible degree of precision with which scientific forecasts differ from that more popular, and illusory sort of card-reading and crystal-ball-gazing which is commonly represented as statistical forecasting.
Those immediately foregoing remarks have illustrated the nature and proper role of long-range forecasting. That leaves us with one, remaining, even more important problem to consider: How can we foresee, and operate to influence, the cultural paradigms which will, in turn, decide the way in which populations and other policy-shapers will respond to a global financial and political-economic crisis-shock of the kind now rapidly approaching?
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The first lesson in long-range forecasting, is that the failure of the forecaster to influence policy-shapers, is not necessarily the result of some lack of proper evidence and rhetoric presented by the forecaster. In most history, of most cultures and their nations, the plain fact is, that most of the time, as in Washington, D.
It is only when the shock of events prompts people to call into doubt their own mind-sets, that those populations become open to considering uncomfortable truths about their own deeply-held opinions. Thus, in history, there is a time and place where populations are willing to hear the truth; most of the time really accurate forecasts are to be found languishing, through no fault of their own, on unfertile popular ground.
Good long-range forecasts are like stubborn, good seeds, which bloom in suitable circumstances; it is one of the essential qualifications of a forecaster, that he or she learn to live with, and act upon that fact. Now, the time has come for the relevant seeds to bloom. That is the kernel of the matter I put before you now, here today.
Romantic Axioms During the immediately preceding months of the Yearthe intelligence news-weekly Executive Intelligence Review EIR has featured four of my writings which are of special and immediate relevance, as background references, for the subject of cultural paradigms, which I address here. The purpose of those four items, like the present report, is to set forth a perspective for those early political decisions which could bring the world out of that catastrophic, global strategic crisis, which is now confronting all regions and nations.
It included three elements. The first was a transcript of my televised address of Jan. The second element added a brief summary, by Nancy Spannaus, of the most notable precedent for my statement of foreign policy, that provided inby then U. Secretary of State John Quincy Adams.
The third element provided a brief summary of another leading precedent for my policy, by the James G. Blaine who was Secretary of State inand, again, during This report, written beginning March 2, appeared in the March 31 edition. This addresses the similar, potentially even more deadly, and global tragedy, which is not to be repeated in U. This Feature was published in the April 21 edition. The fourth and final item of that series, written beginning April 18, focussed upon the implications of the ongoing process of disintegration of the U.
In addition to those four items, I refer your attention to a video-recorded address I made, nearly a month ago, to a late-April conference in Australia. Culture and Forecasting Here, today, I offer you a similar, but different lapsed-time image than I presented to that Australia audience, an image of the change in the characteristic cultural features of a globally extended European civilization, a change which began with the Oct.
It is in the domain of such cultural factors, that there exists the possibility of forecasting which of the available critical choices in political-economic policy, are likely to be adopted under presently unfolding conditions of crisis. Civil War, by an unredeemed scion of the Confederacy, President Theodore Roosevelt, introduced a fundamental strategic shift.
This was a shift, not only in U. This shift within U. That shift in the U. Kennedy, was a shift in U. The effect of the U.
It was this change in the cultural paradigm of the U. The case of the late John J. This legacy of the Teddy Roosevelt Presidency, is the enemy against which President Franklin Roosevelt fought, the decadence which President Kennedy challenged, and that which I have been committed to overcoming, a commitment I have maintained since the years of my foreign military service, in Asia, during World War II. Truman was used, by circles associated with Bertrand Russell and others, to set into motion both the age of The Bomb, and the other aversive features of the post world order, which have led us, through the prolonged Anglo-American conflict with both the Soviet Union and the Non-Aligned Nations leadership, to the catastrophic situation which has developed over the course of the post decade.
This, in turn, has brought us to the present brink of global catastrophe. China, which was a home to 60 percent of U. Recently, importation of certain scrap materials had been entirely halted from May 4 through June 4. Trade tariff policies also are now a factor threatening U. While many recyclers throughout the country are seeing a drop in commodities prices because of recent market factors, there has been a prevailing hope that things will change soon. This new way of operating must consider lessons from the past while setting the path to a future where we bank on emerging technologies.
So what lessons from the past seem most appropriate in charting our course forward? The most important is that you can always find a market for a quality product.